Monthly Archives: February 2010
1. Cover story
Will the real estate market hold after State Eleven
2. Economy outlook
Commercial operation begins of the western segment of the Second West-East Gas Pipeline
3. Financial strategy
The four spearheads in Chinese stock exchange
4. Legal spotlight
The current status of patent registration system in Hong Kong
5. Point of interest
Expo 2010 Shanghai China May 1 to Oct 31
From secretary of president to president
7. Remark from editor
Is Tiger year a good year for stock market
The subprime crisis in the US ignited a global housing market crash since the end of 2007. China was not immune to this catastrophic domino effect. However, unlike many other countries, Chinese real estate market was less affected. It is quite complicated as to how the Chinese managed to achieve this. One of the many reasons is that most of the banks in China are still national banks. They do not sell their housing loans to other entities and are more susceptible to government interventions and persuasion.
With that in mind, there is no denying that the real estate market in China is still a roller coaster ride for the past two years. This phenomenon is evidenced by the rise and fall of stock prices of E-Housing Holdings (NYSE), a top Chinese residential brokerage firm that is publicly traded in the U.S. Its stock value has increased 136% over the past 12 months and yet slipped 32% from the high in last August recently. Government forces definitely play the visible hand in this market.
On the 7th of January, 2010, the office of China’s State Council issued a notice regarding how to promote the stable and healthy development of real estate market. The notice brought eleven points to the attention of all the subordinate agencies and local governments as follows.
- Speed up the construction of middle to low priced medium to small housing units.
- Increase the supply of residential lands and the efficiency of their utilization.
- Rigorously execute discriminating lending interest rates for second housing loans.
- Continue the implementation of differential rates for property tax.
- Tighten risk management of housing loans.
- Continue to regulate the market order of real estate trading.
- Further strengthen land supply management and real estate sales management.
- Strengthen market surveillance.
- Strive to solve the hosing problems of 15.4 million low income families by 2012.
- The central government will increase the subsidy to affordable housing in the mid-west, improve the processes of subsidizing housing and ensure the efficacy of the funding appropriated by the central government.
- The provincial and county governments are responsible for stabilizing the housing market and solving the housing problems of low income families.
There are a lot of debates about whether there is a bubble in China’s real estate market. Bubble or not, Chinese government has been very explicit in their intention of regulating the market order for real estate trading all along. The State Eleven is just another example and its effect remains to be seen.
On January 20, the Jingbian cross-link station started pumping natural gas to the Shaan-Jing Gas Pipelines, marking the commercial operation of the western segment of the Second West-East Gas Pipeline.
Heavy snowfall and low temperature since the beginning of the year led to a dramatic increase of gas consumption in Beijing, which was up to 53 million cubic meters on January 4, much higher than routine volume. China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) promptly took pre-arranged countermeasures to ensure gas supply to Beijing. Gas from Central Asia via the Second West-East Gas Pipeline will provide additional guarantee for gas supplies to Beijing and the surrounding regions.
On December 14 and 31, 2009, the Central Asia-China Gas Pipeline and the western segment of the Second West-East Gas Pipeline were put into operation respectively.
On January 20, 2010, after a 20-day preparation for pressure boosting, the 2,745.9 kilometers long western segment of the Second West-East Gas Pipeline was ready for gas delivery and began to distribute gas to the Second Shaan-Jing Gas Pipeline.
Zhongwei-Jingbian branch is a cross-link line of the West-East Gas Pipelines and Shaan-Jing Gas Pipelines. As an important hub of gas pipelines in China, Jingbian station dispatches imported Central Asian gas to Eastern China through the First West-East Gas Pipeline, and to Beijing and surrounding regions through the Shaan-Jing Gas Pipelines.
Urumqi Municipality of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region is the first city to enjoy the benefit of Central Asian gas. The city has totally eased off gas shortage since the western segment became operational 20 days ago.
Currently, gas production on the right bank of Amu Darya in Turkmenistan is well under way. The daily input volume at the initial station at Horgos is 6.6 million cubic meters, and the pumping pressure at Jingbian station is 5.16 Mpa. The Central Asian gas is expected to arrive Beijing in three days. Meanwhile, construction of the eastern segment of the pipeline is putting forward smoothly, with 1,560 kilometers already been wielded.
The Second West-East Gas Pipeline is a single project that draws the heaviest investment in the history of the country. The pipeline, with a design capacity of 30 billion cubic meters per annum, will travel 8,653 kilometers through 15 provinces and regions from Xinjiang’s Horgos to Shanghai in the east, and to the south reaches at Guangzhou and Hong Kong. It is the first large scale pipeline project which introduces overseas gas resources.
The First West-East Gas Pipeline, 3,843 kilometers in length, runs from Tarim in Xinjiang to Shanghai with its gas supply covering Central and Eastern China. It became operational on October 1, 2004, capable to transport 12 billion cubic meters annually.
The Second Shaan-Jing Gas Pipeline became operational in July 2005. It runs from Jingbian in Shaanxi Province to Beijing via Shanxi and Hebei, with a total length of 935.4 kilometers and an annual deliverability of 12 billion cubic meters.
Shanghai Stock Exchange
The Shanghai Stock Exchange (the Shanghai SE) was founded on Nov. 26th, 1990, and in operation on Dec.19th the same year. It is a membership institution directly governed by the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC). The Shanghai SE bases its development on the principle of “legislation, supervision, self-regulation and standardization” to create a transparent, open, safe and efficient marketplace. The SSE endeavors to realize a variety of functions: providing marketplace and facilities for securities trading; formulating business rules; accepting and arranging listings; organizing and monitoring securities trading; regulating members and listed companies; managing and disseminating market information.
After several years’ operation, the Shanghai SE has become the most preeminent stock market in Mainland China in terms of number of listed companies, number of shares listed, total market value, tradable market value, securities turnover in value, stock turnover in value and the T-bond turnover in value. At the end of 2008, SSE boasted 1,184 listed securities and 864 listed companies, with a combined market capitalization of RMB 9,725.191 billion and a total of 79.7287 million trading accounts. In 2008, listed companies raised RMB 89.291 billion on SSE through IPO and new share placement. A large number of companies from key industries, infrastructure and high-tech sectors have not only raised capital, but also improved their operation mechanism through listing on Shanghai stock market.
Entering the new century, Shanghai SE is faced with great opportunities as well as challenges to further boost the market construction and regulation. Combining the cutting-edge hardware facilities, favorable policy conditions in Pudong and exemplary role of Shanghai economy, Shanghai SE is fully committed to the goal of State-owned industrial enterprises reform and developing Shanghai into an international financial center with great confidence.
Shenzhen Stock Exchange
The Shenzhen Stock Exchange (the Shenzhen SE) is a mutualized national stock exchange under the CSRC and provides a venue for securities trading. A broad spectrum of market participants, including 540 listed companies, 35 million registered investors and 177 exchange members, create the market. Here buying and selling orders are matched in a fair, open and orderly market, through an automated system to create the best possible prices based on price-time priority.
Since its creation in 1990, the Shenzhen SE has blossomed into a market of great competitive edges in the country, with a market capitalization around RMB 1 trillion (US$ 122 billion). On a daily basis, around 600,000 deals, valued US$ 807 million, trade on the SSE.
China securities market is undergoing fundamental changes. The implementation of the new Securities Law, Company Law, self-innovation strategy as well as the development of non-tradable share reform embodies enormous opportunities to the market. Adhering to the principle of “Regulation, Innovation, Cultivation and Service”, the Shenzhen SE will continue to maintain its focus on developing the Small and Medium Enterprises Board, while seeking for a tier market.
Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited
In his 1999 Budget Speech, Hong Kong’s Financial Secretary announced comprehensive market reform of the stock and futures markets. The reforms were designed to increase competitiveness and meet the challenges of an increasingly globalised market.
Under the reform, The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited (SEHK), Hong Kong Futures Exchange Limited (HKFE) demutualised and together with Hong Kong Securities Clearing Company Limited (HKSCC), merged under a single holding company, Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEx).
This was achieved by the approval of the Schemes of Arrangements of SEHK and HKFE at their respective general meetings on 27 September 1999, which were then approved by the Court on 11 October 1999. The merger of the three institutions took operational effect on 6 March 2000, and HKEx listed itself on SEHK by introduction on 27 June 2000.
Reports of securities trading in Hong Kong date back to the mid-19th century. However, the first formal market, the Association of Stockbrokers in Hong Kong, was not established until 1891. The Association was re-named the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in 1914.
A second exchange, the Hong Kong Stockbrokers’ Association was incorporated in 1921. The two exchanges merged to form the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in 1947 and re-establish the stock market after the Second World War.
Rapid growth of the Hong Kong economy led to the establishment of three other exchanges – the Far East Exchange in 1969; the Kam Ngan Stock Exchange in 1971; and the Kowloon Stock Exchange in 1972.
Pressure to strengthen market regulation and to unify the four exchanges led to the incorporation of SEHK, the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited in 1980. The four exchanges ceased business on 27 March 1986 and the new exchange commenced trading through a computer-assisted system on 2 April 1986. Prior to the completion of the merger with HKFE in March 2000, the unified stock exchange had 570 participant organizations.
Established in 1976, the Hong Kong Commodity Exchange (the predecessor of Hong Kong Futures Exchange Limited) is a derivatives leader in the Asia-Pacific region. The main products traded on the commodity exchange were cotton futures, sugar futures, soybean futures and gold futures. The Hong Kong Commodity Exchange was renamed the Hong Kong Futures Exchange (HKFE) on 7 May 1985.
HKFE launched on 6 May 1986 its flagship product, the HSI Futures, which is still its most popular futures product in HKEx’s derivatives markets today. HKFE provides efficient and diversified markets for trading futures and options contracts by its more than 160 participant organizations, including many that are affiliated to international financial institutions. The derivatives market under HKEx trades a broad range of products, including equity index, stock and interest rate.
HKEx and its subsidiary companies, HKFE Clearing Corporation Limited and SEHK Options Clearing House Limited operate rigorous risk management system which enables participants and their clients to meet their investment and hedging needs in a liquid and well-regulated market place.
Hong Kong Securities Clearing Company Limited was incorporated in 1989. It created CCASS, the central clearing and settlement system, which started operating in 1992 and became the central counterparty for all CCASS participants.
The clearing operation is based on the immobilization of share certificates in a central depository. Share settlement is on a continuous net settlement basis by electronic book entry to participants’ stock accounts in CCASS. Transactions between CCASS participants are settled on T+2, the second trading day following the transaction.
Taiwan Stock Exchange Corporation
Since its inception in 1961, Taiwan Stock Exchange Corporation (TWSE) has kept pace with the market development and the most up-to-date technologies. TWSE works with the competent authority, Financial Supervisory Commission (FSC), to deregulate and liberalize Taiwan’s stock market, and gears itself up more in line with major international market.
To speed up the liberalization and internationalization of the Taiwan securities market, TWSE has actively reached out to the world in recent years. They have hold promotional tours to the major financial centers in the world and other promising areas such as the Middle East. In addition, TWSE has hold conferences or meetings, at which famous foreign scholars or experts are invited to talk to the local market about current market trends and at the same time inform foreign investors of the continuing liberalization of our stock market.
In order to keep up with the international trend of developing index-related products, TWSE, in association with FTSE, has launched a series of tradable indices in Taiwan: the “TWSE Taiwan 50 Index” on October 29, 2002, “TWSE Taiwan Mid-cap 100 Index” and “TWSE Taiwan Technology Index” on November 29, 2004, “TWSE Taiwan eight industries Index” and “TWSE Taiwan dividend+ Index” on January 15, 2007. TWSE will continue to cooperate with FTSE, in accordance with international standards, to compile more indices to be used as underlying indices of new financial products.
Source: http://www.sse.com.cn/sseportal/ps/zhs/home.html; http://www.szse.cn/main/en/aboutsse/sseoverview/; http://www.hkex.com.hk/exchange/history/history.htm; http://www.twse.com.tw/en/about/company/welcome.php
According to a written reply by the Secretary for Commerce and Economic Development, Mrs. Rita Lau, to a question by the Hon Wong Ting-kwong at the Legislative Council meeting on December 9, 2009, Hong Kong government have no plan to establish an “original grant patent system” for the time being.
The Patents Ordinance (Cap. 514) of Hong Kong provides for the relevant requirements under the patent registration system in Hong Kong. For the purpose of granting a patent, the Hong Kong Patents Registry will verify the documents and information submitted to ensure that the registration requirements are met. It does not conduct substantive examination, i.e. it does not assess whether the invention is novel, involves an inventive step and is susceptible to industrial applications.
Standard patents obtained in Hong Kong are based on a patent granted by one of three ”designated patent offices”. These “designated patent offices”, which adopt the “original grant patent system”, are the State Intellectual Property Office, the United Kingdom Patent Office and the European Patent Office. The application process involves two stages. At Stage 1, the applicant files a “request to record” in Hong Kong within the prescribed period  after the patent application has been published by a “designated patent office”. At Stage 2, after the patent has been granted by the designated patent office, the applicant files a “request for registration and grant” within the prescribed period . The Hong Kong Patents Registry will normally grant the patent within a few months after receiving the relevant certifying document from the “designated patent office”. A standard patent may remain in force for a maximum term of 20 years.
As for a short-term patent, the applicant files his application direct with the Hong Kong Patents Registry without having to go through a “designated patent office”. The applicant will need to submit a search report prepared either by one of the “designated patent offices” or by any International Searching Authority appointed pursuant to Article 16 of the Patent Co-operation Treaty. The Hong Kong Patents Registry will grant the short-term patent after satisfying itself that the information required is fully furnished. Such a process normally takes a few months. A short-term patent may remain in force for a maximum term of eight years.
Before establishing an “original grant patent system”, a Patent Office would need to have a comprehensive technical information databank and a sizable pool of suitably qualified technical personnel. Such prerequisites are essential for the substantive examination of applications covering the main technical fields of inventions, including the capacity to assess whether an invention is patentable (i.e. whether the invention is novel, involves an inventive step and is susceptible to industrial application). The relevant set-up cost is enormous. Moreover, given the present relatively low volume of patent applications originating from Hong Kong (approximately 1% of the total number of applications received for standard patents), establishing an “original grant patent system” may not be cost-effective.
The patent systems of Singapore and Macao are not “original grant patent systems” either. Singapore has outsourced the substantive examination of patent applications to the Patent Offices of Australia, Austria, Denmark and Hungary while patent applications filed with the Macao Patent Office are entrusted to the State Intellectual Property Office for substantive examination. The relevant patents granted are valid only in the economy where the applications are made.
In Hong Kong, most applicants for patent registration will simultaneously seek patent protection in other economies (including our major trading partners, such as Europe or the Mainland). Not only does the existing patent registration system largely meet the business needs of the applicants, the process leading to registration is relatively straight-forward and inexpensive (entailing a fee of $896 for filing an application).
Note 1: The standard patent application has to be filed in Hong Kong within 6 months after the date of publication of corresponding application in a designated patent office.
Note 2: The request has to be filed in Hong Kong within 6 months after the date of grant of the designated patent by the designated patent office or publication of the request to record in Hong Kong, whichever is later.
World Expositions are galleries of human inspirations and thoughts. Since 1851 when the Great Exhibition of Industries of All Nations was held in London, the World Expositions have attained increasing prominence as grand events for economic, scientific, technological and cultural exchanges, serving as an important platform for displaying historical experience, exchanging innovative ideas, demonstrating esprit de corps and looking to the future.
With a long civilization, China favors international exchange and loves world peace. China owes its successful bid for the World Exposition in 2010 to the international community’s support for and confidence in its reform and opening-up. The Exposition will be the first registered World Exposition in a developing country, which gives expression to the expectations the world’s people place on China’s future development.
So what will Expo 2010 Shanghai China deliver to the world? There is no doubt the Chinese people will present to the world a successful, splendid and unforgettable exposition.
Expo 2010 Shanghai China will be a great event to explore the full potential of urban life in the 21st century and a significant period in urban evolution. Fifty-five percent of the world population is expected to live in cities by the year 2010. The prospect of future urban life, a subject of global interest, concerns all nations, developed or less developed, and their people. Being the first World Exposition on the theme of city, Exposition 2010 will attract governments and people from across the world, focusing on the theme “Better City, Better Life.” For its 184 days, participants will display urban civilization to the full extent, exchange their experiences of urban development, disseminate advanced notions on cities and explore new approaches to human habitat, lifestyle and working conditions in the new century. They will learn how to create an eco-friendly society and maintain the sustainable development of human beings.
Expo 2010 Shanghai China will center on innovation and interaction. Innovation is the soul, while cultural interaction is an important mission of the World Expositions. In the new era, Expo 2010 Shanghai China will contribute to human-centered development, scientific and technological innovation, cultural diversity and win-win cooperation for a better future, thus composing a melody with the key notes of highlighting innovation and interaction in the new century.
Expo 2010 Shanghai China will also be a grand international gathering. On the one hand, the Expo shall endeavor to attract about 200 nations and international organizations to take part in the exhibition as well as 70 million visitors from home and abroad, ensuring the widest possible participation in the history of the World Expositions. This endeavor will put Expo 2010 Shanghai China in a global perspective, encourage the participation and gain the understanding and support of various countries and peoples, in order to turn Expo 2010 Shanghai China into a happy reunion of people from all over the world.
In addition, Expo 2010 Shanghai China will offer a wonderful opportunity for cross-culture dialogues. Before the conclusion of the Exposition, a “Shanghai Declaration” will be issued. This declaration, hopefully a milestone in the history of the World Expositions, will epitomize the insights to be offered by the participants and embody people’s ideas for future cooperation and development and extensive common aspirations, thereby leaving a rich spiritual legacy of urban development to people throughout the world.
The Chinese Government will go to great lengths to make Expo 2010 Shanghai China a special event that carries on traditions and opens a new vista into the future. Their motto is: “Keeping in mind the next 60 years’ development while preparing for the six months’ Exposition”.
On May 20, 2008, Ma Ying-jeou was inaugurated president of the Republic of China (ROC). During the presidential election Ma campaigned on a platform to revive Taiwan’s flagging economy and restore the core values of its society, namely that of benevolence, righteousness, diligence, honesty, generosity and industriousness. On Election Day Ma secured a landslide victory winning 58.5 percent of the votes, a total of 7.65 million ballots. This election represented Taiwan’s second peaceful transfer of political power, marking a milestone in the island’s democratic development. Upon taking office Ma immediately worked to carry through on his campaign promises: implementing measures to bolster the economy and initiating talks with mainland China thus paving the way to peace across the Taiwan Strait.
Even though Ma was born in Hong Kong on July 13, 1950, he and his family permanently moved to Taiwan a year later, and have since been living on the island for nearly 60 years. In a family of five children, Ma Ying-jeou is the only male sibling. Ma’s father, Ma Ho-ling, was originally from Hengshan County in Hunan Province on the mainland. From his early years, the elder Ma was already deeply involved in patriotic activities: joining the Youth Army and fighting in the Second Sino-Japanese War. Throughout his lifetime, Ma Ho-ling had dedicated himself to his government and country; he had served in various positions and capacities in the KMT Party and government since winning the war against Japan in 1945 until his death at the age of 85 in 2005. Ma Ying-jeou’s mother, Chin Hou-hsiu, having equally devoted her life to the government, is now a retired civil servant. In 1977, Ma Ying-jeou married Chow Mei-ching. They have two daughters: Ma Wei-chung and Ma Yuan-chung. The smallest addition to their family is an adopted stray dog affectionately called Ma Hsiao-jeou (Little Ma).
Ma Ying-jeou graduated from Taiwan’s foremost academic institution, National Taiwan University, in 1972 receiving a bachelor’s degree from the College of Law. After earning a Master of Laws (LL.M.) degree from New York University in 1976, Ma received a Doctor of Juridical Science (S.J.D.) degree from Harvard Law School in 1981, specializing in law of the sea and international economic law.
Upon returning to the Republic of China (Taiwan) in 1981 Ma became the deputy director of the First Bureau of the Presidential Office. In this post, he served as President Chiang Ching-Kuo’s English interpreter and secretary. He was concurrently deputy secretary-general of the KMT’s Central Committee. In 1986, he was assigned by President Chiang the heavy task of researching into the possibility of lifting martial law, relaxing cross-Strait exchange such as permitting residents in Taiwan to visit their mainland relatives, and reforming the parliament.
On October 7, 1986, President Chiang granted an interview with The Washington Post, in which the interviewer was Katherine Graham. During the interview Chiang announced that Taiwan would be lifting martial rule and the ban on forming new political parties. This event marked a momentous turning point in Taiwan’s democratic development. Serving as the president’s English secretary, Ma Ying-jeou was witness to this historic milestone in Chinese civilization.
In 1988, Ma Ying-jeou was appointed Chairman of the Research, Development, and Evaluation Commission of the Executive Yuan. Concurrently, he was also assigned to form a Mainland Affairs Council Taskforce and subsequently became the body’s executive secretary. Three years later, Ma was appointed to the newly established Mainland Affairs Council becoming its first-ever vice chairperson while concurrently serving as a KMT representative at-large in the Second National Assembly.
In 1993, Ma Ying-jeou was appointed the Minister of Justice, in which he launched an aggressive campaign to fight against corruption, drugs, investigated into allegations of vote-buying, cracked down on organized crime and reformed the prison system. Ma’s dedication gained him the respect of his peers and that of society, becoming popularly viewed as a champion for justice. In 1996, Ma was appointed Minister without Portfolio. However, no longer in charge of fighting crime, the following year Ma nevertheless resigned to take responsibility for a series of heinous crimes, notably the kidnap and brutal murder of Pai Hsiao-yan, the daughter of a famous Taiwanese entertainer. He later returned to teach law at the College of Law, National Chengchi University.
Taipei Mayor and KMT Chairman
In 1998, Ma Ying-jeou joined the hotly contested race for Taipei Mayor. This was the first time Ma would run for an elected position and face the scrutiny of public opinion. Campaigning on a platform built on technocratic expertise and a fresh outlook, Ma won the election by 51.13 percent, or 760,000 ballots. Four years later he secured a second term in office, winning 870,000 ballots, or 64.11 percent of the votes. During his eight year tenure as Taipei Mayor, Ma succeeded in transforming Taipei into a world-class cosmopolitan city. Many domestic and international polls have frequently ranked Taipei as among the top quality cities in the region.
In 2005, Ma Ying-jeou ran for the KMT chairmanship. He put forth a roadmap to reform the party’s social and organizational structures and revitalize its image. Ma’s message for change attracted the strong support of young and swing voters, in the end securing him a landslide victory of 73% of the votes.
Special Allowance Fund
On February 13, 2007, Ma was indicted on corruption charges in connection to a special allowance fund that was under his discretionary use during his tenure as Taipei mayor. In response to these charges Ma immediately issued a statement entitled, “Turning Grief and Indignation into Strength,” in which he tendered his resignation as KMT Party chairman and officially announced that he will join the presidential race in 2008.
In the days following this event media polls showed that over 70 percents of respondents believed in Ma’s innocence. In August and December of 2007, both the Taipei District Court and Taiwan High Courts ruled that Ma was innocent of all charges. This decision was subsequently upheld by the Supreme Court on April 24, 2008, marking a definitive victory for Ma Ying-jeou.
Presidential Election Campaign
Upon announcing his presidential candidacy Ma campaigned tirelessly to reach the people; he launched a tour of the entire island trekking on bike to countless towns and villages and living among the people in what the media coined Ma’s “Long Stay.” His sincerity, positive campaigning style and technocratic expertise and experience won him the support of Taiwan’s grassroots. On March 22, 2008, Ma Ying-jeou became the duly elected president of the Republic of China (Taiwan).
On May 20, 2008, Ma Ying-jeou was inaugurated as the 12th-term president of the Republic of China. In his inaugural speech entitled, “Taiwan’s Renaissance,” Ma pledges to restore the political ethics of government, bolster the independence of civil society and build an economically viable environment based on sustainability, entrepreneurship and innovation. In addition, creating an open and just society has become the cornerstone of the new Ma administration, where those underprivileged and destitute will receive equal opportunities in society. Finally, Ma Ying-jeou fully intends to honor and execute the articles inscribed in the ROC constitution to their utmost extent possible.
On foreign policy Ma Ying-jeou is committed to deepening Taiwan’s global political and economic integration, as well as strengthening regional cooperation and bilateral ties with neighboring countries, in which he envisions to transform Taiwan into a responsible stakeholder in East Asia. Regarding cross-Strait relations, Ma Ying-jeou has been promoting the policy of “no unification, no independence, and no use of force.” In particular, he advocates the maintenance of the status quo under the framework of the ROC constitution and the resumption of mainland negotiations based on the “92 Consensus.” Ma calls for Taiwan and the mainland to reconcile their differences in cross-Strait relations and in the international community so that both sides can pursue win-win strategies that will contribute to the peaceful development of the region.
Ma Ying-jeou intends to uphold those ideals that best embody the essence of Taiwan’s spirit—benevolence, righteousness, diligence, honesty, generosity and industriousness. The new Ma administration envisions creating a government where the economic and political prosperity of the island and the livelihoods of the people come first and foremost.
We celebrate Chinese New Year this month. The coming year is Tiger year. Tiger represents bravery and aggressiveness. The outgoing year is Ox year. Ox is supposed to be hard working. Ox year bore witness to a bull’s market indeed in the terminology of stock trading. The indices of all four Chinese stock markets had increased significantly in the past year after the economic down turn in 2008. Will this year be another bull’s year? The Chinese zodiac has clearly indicated otherwise.
The investors who will win out in this year need to be both brave and aggressive. There are signs of caution looming all around. The skyrocketing real estate market had alerted the Chinese government as evidenced by the 11 points issued by the State Council. The performance of stock market in 2010 hinges on two major factors. First of all, whether the housing market can still play the role of locomotive and secondly how high the lending interest rate will hike in the financial market.
It appears that the Chinese government is ready to regulate the real estate market and the lending interest rates will go up to a certain degree. Therefore, we will definitely not see a bull’s market in this year. It takes courage and aggressiveness to realize profit in this tiger market. We predict short term tactics and maneuvers will be the main stream of this year and the precarious stock market is definitely not for the timid in the tiger year.